There are not really 1.7 million jobs waiting in France

Greater than 1.7 million hiring intentions by corporations … And an unemployment price that continues to extend. That is the paradox that emerges at first look from theannual study of the employment center “Labor needs”, published Thursday 16 April.

There could be in France a pool of jobs ignored. The parable resurfaces often with the assistance of a determine acknowledged by a politician or a examine on the labor market. From there to carry accountable “the unemployed preferring to remain at house” quite than responding to those gives, there is just one step. But when we analyze extra deeply the outcomes of this examine, we see that issues are extra complicated.

Intention to rent, supply not stuffed, job vacant … The phrases are related, however but cowl completely different realities.

> Hiring intentions – and solely these intentions and never presently vacant positions – are measured by this annual survey carried out by the employment heart. Because of the replies of 1.6 million corporations, it makes it attainable to guage the potential recruitments to return throughout the yr in France.

The indicator is constructive: these forecasts are up 2.three% in comparison with 2014, ie 38,700 further tasks. Watch out although: an intention to recruit is a standard phenomenon: the job market is characterised by everlasting flows of creation, or destruction, of jobs.

> Vacancies meet a exact definition, which is identical all through the European Union. It’s “All vacant positions at any given time, together with these vacant for a couple of days, and positions that aren’t but out there however for which analysis is underway or deliberate “.

If we comply with this definition, the variety of vacancies in France is 180 000, according to the Acemo survey conducted at the end of 2012. However this doesn’t cowl all vacancies on the labor market (sectors not taken under consideration akin to public administrations, the agricultural sector).

To attempt to discover an actual determine, the orientation council for employment (COE) has extrapolated from the information of the employment heart (which captures solely 37% of recruitments). He arrived on the determine of 820,000 job vacancies. This determine stays to be taken for what it’s: a photograph at a given second of the labor market. There’s, nevertheless, an incompressible delay between the second when a job is to be stuffed and the place it’s supplied. Furthermore, simply because a job is vacant doesn’t imply that it’s essentially stuffed by an unemployed individual.

> Unsuccessful gives don’t correspond to any delimited idea, and due to this fact no statistical knowledge measures them. If we contemplate that these are gives for which recruitment has been troublesome, greater than three months, the WCC reaches the determine of 570,000 gives on your complete labor market. If we contemplate that these are the gives which were withdrawn, for lack of candidate, the determine is completely different. Considering knowledge from the employment heart, the MEDEF observatory and the 2005 OFER survey, the WCC places them at 400,000 every year.

Among the many gives not met by the Pôle emploi in 2012, half were withdrawn for lack of need, 25% for lack of candidate and 25% because they were filled internally.

Both 683,419 of the hiring intentions measured by this Pôle emploi survey are in truth seasonal jobs. Agricultural trades, for instance, that are contemplating a excessive variety of hiring tasks, account for greater than 85% of seasonal jobs. The issue is identical for kitchen helpers, clothes salesmen or socio-cultural animation professionals …

If we classify these employment intentions by sort of contract, we acquire 35% of everlasting contracts, 23% of fixed-term contracts of six months or extra and 42% of momentary jobs. Perennial “job vacancies” due to this fact signify solely a 3rd of the whole.

As well as, the occupations that rent probably the most are, for probably the most half, low-skilled jobs, akin to upkeep brokers, waiters or animation professionals. Gives at wages and dealing situations much less advantageous and due to this fact much less engaging.

Relying on the area, the hiring intentions of corporations are very completely different. Unemployed folks exterior main metropolitan areas, the South-East and the Atlantic arc are much less possible to have the ability to apply for these hiring tasks.

Nearly a 3rd of those hiring intentions are more likely to be troublesome to fill. That is what corporations report back to the employment heart. Among the many trades the place there are recruitment difficulties: regulators (technicians in control of machine tuning), certified warmth and floor remedy brokers, roofers, engineers and administrative employees, docs, supervisors in mechanical manufacturing, boilermakers …

Relying on the sector, these difficulties could be defined otherwise. The problem of the shortage of doctors, for example, which desert sure areas and whose quantity is mounted every year by a numerus clausus, is understood. 73% of recruiters additionally query the scarcity of candidates to clarify their hiring difficulties. This issues docs and paramedical professions, in addition to certified roofing trades, mechanical technicians and expert upkeep employees.

Different positions require very specialised abilities, which aren’t frequent amongst folks on the lookout for work. The insufficient profile of candidates is the primary cause given (81% of circumstances) by corporations to clarify their problem in hiring. This issues specifically engineers, executives and IT managers, website managers …

Allow us to assume that every one of those 1,739,000 hiring tasks are stuffed by job-seekers: this is able to signify solely 33% of them. The variety of registered job-seekers enrolled on the Pôle emploi, was 5,262,500 in February (counting only categories A, B, C in metropolitan France).