It’s completed ! Brexiteer Boris Johnson received common elections within the UK. It was crucial election of this century as it could decide the way forward for Brexit.
The result’s clear: it’s the biggest victory for the Conservative Occasion for the reason that Thatcher period in 1987. The Labor Occasion which pays for its Brexit blockage information its heaviest defeat since 1935. The Home of Commons can not s oppose the favored vote of June 2016. The slap is monumental for our main French media who’ve continued to make imagine that the British regretted their vote. The Brexit Occasion’s victory within the European elections and this triumph of Boris Johnson present that they have been above all in propaganda and disinformation. They projected their very own wishes onto actuality.
The worry challenge is the principle argument of the Europeans in the entire Brexit course of as a result of they worry a collapse of the EU. The query now’s what is going to the UK’s future be exterior the EU, which can occur on January 31, 2020.
The challenge of worry earlier than the referendum fully false
I’m clearly not a type of who suppose it is going to be a catastrophe. Moreover, all of the prophecies of Revelation made earlier than the 2016 referendum turned out to be fully false. Their argument was easy, efficient and apparent: “Should you vote no, it is going to be an financial catastrophe the day after the vote. “
The Financial institution of England, David Cameron, George Osborne, and even Barack Obama and Christine Lagarde, who have been displaying right here “good interference”, introduced the next disasters: collapse of the pound, collapse of the monetary markets, recession of the GDP, rise in unemployment, collapse of investments, explosion of inflation and big fall in home costs.
The intimidation was complete. Now let's have a look at actuality
The intimidation was complete. Now let's have a look at the truth of what has occurred for the reason that Brexit vote within the June 23, 2016 referendum, the place 51.9% of Britons voted to go away the EU.
The pound sterling has definitely misplaced its worth following the referendum and the victory of Brexit. On June 23, we have been at 1 euro = zero.76 kilos. As we speak, Friday December 13, 2019, we change 1 euro for zero.83 kilos. This represents a 9% depreciation. This isn’t insurmountable: keep in mind that the euro between April 2014 and March 2017 depreciated by 25% with out anybody screaming on the apocalypse.
Quite the opposite, the autumn of the pound sterling favored manufacturing on the British territory. Between March 2016 and March 2017, manufacturing manufacturing elevated by 2.7%, and industrial manufacturing by three.2%. Such a rebound had not been noticed since 2010. In 2017, the rise was 1.eight%. Over the 2016-2018 interval, the rise was on common 1.2%, whereas over the 2001-2015 interval, industrial manufacturing was down zero.eight%.
Industrial orders in November 2017 have been additionally at their highest for nearly thirty years! As for the monetary markets, the principle British inventory market index, the FTSE 100, equal to our CAC 40, was buying and selling at 6,338.10 on the night of June 23, 2016. The index misplaced three.15% on Friday June 24, then 2.55% on Monday June 27. It began to rise once more on Tuesday June 28, with a rise of two.64%, then exceeded its degree earlier than the vote on Wednesday June 29. As we speak, it’s now quoted at 7,383.80, a rise of 16% for the reason that pre-referendum. Right here too, we’re very removed from the introduced collapse.
Now let's deal with development and unemployment. As early as 2016, a recession was to happen after the Brexit vote. Unhealthy luck, in 2016, development was the second strongest of all of the G7 international locations, at 1.eight%, and had even been revised upwards… after Brexit! Progress was 1.7% in 2017 and 1.three% in 2018. Three years later, we’re nonetheless ready for the recession promised by the remainers! Whereas Italy has not grown for the reason that adoption of the euro and sinks into recession and Germany is slowing down and can be getting ready to recession, we will even say that the Kingdom – Uni shouldn’t be doing too badly!
Maybe the largest slap within the face of all of the apocalypse prophets has been the evolution of the unemployment fee. What we will see, in response to the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics (ONS, the British equal of INSEE), is that unemployment was 5% earlier than the referendum and that it fell to three.eight% on the finish of Might 2019, the bottom fee in over forty-four years, since winter 1974.
On the identical time, the employment fee fell from 74.2% to 76.1%, which is a historic report. The evil tongues, who haven’t studied the difficulty in depth, clarify why this unemployment fee is falling because of odd jobs and “zero hour” jobs. Whereas this may occasionally have been true prior to now, the reverse has been noticed for the reason that Brexit vote. Half-time jobs went from eight.564 million (27% of jobs) to eight.562 million (26.three% of jobs). Because of this the 851,594 jobs created have been completely full-time!
We additionally realized in September 2019 that wages elevated by four.zero%, and buying energy by 2.1% over a 12 months for the interval Might-July 2019! Such will increase in wages and buying energy had not taken place since 2008, eleven years!
UK ranked primary in funding locations worldwide
We would like to expertise such a disaster in France! Investments have been additionally to break down. The annual survey on funding developments carried out by the worldwide consulting agency EY in 2019, even locations the UK for the primary time on this planet rank as the highest funding vacation spot, even exceeding the US, a a lot bigger financial system than the UK. International direct funding (FDI) elevated 6% in 2017, in response to the most recent figures obtainable, in comparison with the earlier 12 months. There have been 1,205 new initiatives, up from 1,138 in 2016 and solely 700 in 2012. When requested about Brexit, 6% of buyers mentioned it was making them much less enticing to the UK, whereas 7% mentioned it elevated their attraction.
Paradoxically, a few of the largest buyers within the UK have been EU corporations like Siemens or the Spanish firm CAF. Those that have invested essentially the most are American corporations: Boeing, Apple, Google, Fb, Amazon, Snapchat, Mc Donald’s, Subway, McCain Meals, and so forth. This checklist is clearly not exhaustive, but it surely testifies to the overall lack of lucidity and good religion on the a part of those that introduced the collapse of the UK and now search to cling to the few dangerous dangerous information to make imagine it could be a catastrophe.
The worry challenge has turned out to be fully incorrect
London is the main European vacation spot for enterprise capital investments in new applied sciences, in response to a research by PitchBook printed at the beginning of London Tech Week. The UK had additionally been labeled by the well-known journal Forbes as the perfect nation to do enterprise in 2018. These investments usually are not investments remodeled two or three months however for a number of years. Buyers on the time of those selections had already built-in Brexit!
Actual property costs have been anticipated to fall. They by no means really fell. Actual property costs even elevated by 5.2% in 2016, four.5% in 2017 and a pair of.zero% in 2018. We’re additionally nonetheless ready for the 10,000 to 30,000 financiers who needed to cross the Channel to take refuge in France or Germany.
The worry challenge turned out to be fully incorrect! The identical ones who introduced all these apocalyptic prophecies ought to be made very small. The worst half is that we wish to proceed to make us imagine in France, within the mainstream media, that the state of affairs can be horrible in the UK. They’re additionally the identical individuals who received it incorrect on all their forecasts earlier than the referendum who wave the second stage of the rocket challenge of worry and say that the catastrophe will happen after the efficient exit… As if all the businesses had not already built-in this exit for a very long time…
The EU pays the invoice
The plan of worry has confirmed to be false. The UK will lastly come out and transfer ahead following this election. It won’t be the introduced disaster and with the top of uncertainty, it’s even possible that the British financial system might be even higher. Those that ought to worry Brexit usually are not the British however those that stay within the EU. It isn’t for nothing that Germany, seeing its pursuits properly, has at all times held again an exit with out settlement.
It’s the EU that has every part to lose, therefore the incomprehensible nature of its place of complete firmness and its will to set an instance. Fairly than eager to make a win-win deal to safeguard its financial pursuits, the EU, beginning with Eurofanatic Emmanuel Macron, wished the UK to endure in order to not make others wish to exit. Principally, this angle is that of a sect which desires to punish the follower who needs to exit and regain his freedom. The EU could be the massive loser as a result of the UK has an enormous deficit when it comes to commerce in items. Its commerce deficit in 2017 was almost 110 billion euros with the EU.
It’s excessive time to comply with their instance, to not be afraid of those financial illusions
Above all, the remaining internet contributor international locations must pay the shortfall within the EU price range. France's internet contribution to the EU price range is 10 billion euros in 2019. After leaving the UK, and with the deliberate improve within the EU price range of 30%, it may go into the years which come to 14 or 15 billion euros per 12 months. When we’ve got no more cash for primary public companies just like the hospital, or for the upkeep of our collapsed roads or bridges, we proceed to line up the tickets at a loss for the EU sect. 15 billion euros, this represents the development of 375 hospitals! It additionally represents 909 euros per 12 months per tax family paying earnings tax.
Good luck to our British buddies who will come out at the start of 2020 and can do very properly. It’s excessive time to comply with their instance, to not be afraid of those financial illusions, to free ourselves from the EU sect by Frexit and to regain our freedom and our democracy.