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Unemployment. Why do we read different figures?

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January 11, 2020
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Unemployment. Why do we read different figures?
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Within the second quarter, the unemployment fee fell and now stands at eight.5% in response to INSEE. On the finish of July, Pôle Emploi gave the identical development however not the identical figures.

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Within the second quarter, the entire job seekers registered with Pôle Emploi employed 5,579,500 folks. | AFP


  • In the second quarter, all of the job seekers registered with Pôle Emploi employed 5,579,500 people.
    Within the second quarter, the entire job seekers registered with Pôle Emploi employed 5,579,500 folks. | AFP

In keeping with revealed figures Wednesday August 14 by INSEE, the speed of unemployment fell zero.2 factors within the second quarter. It’s established at eight.5% of the working inhabitants in complete France (besides Mayotte) and thus accounts for 2.52 million unemployed.

On the finish of June, Pôle emploi additionally revealed a drop in unemployment, however recorded three.37 million unemployed employees in class A. So why such variations?

The 2 organizations “Shouldn’t have the identical definitions of unemployment”

First rationalization: INSEE and Pôle emploi don’t depend on the identical supply to make their calculations. INSEE, for its half, begins from the results of a survey of a panel of households: the Employment survey. Pôle Emploi prefers to depend on its administrative file which accounts for candidates registered in its businesses.

Then the 2 organizations “Shouldn’t have the identical definitions of unemployment”, explains Anne Eydoux, researcher on the Heart for Employment and Work Research (CEET). At Pôle Emploi, the unemployed are “Individuals unemployed prior to now month, required to carry out optimistic acts of job search”. They represent class A. For its half, INSEE aligns with the definition of the Worldwide Labor Workplace (ILO) which contains different standards, equivalent to being out there inside fifteen days to take up a brand new job .

A widening hole

In July, INSEE revealed a examine which highlights a widening of the hole between the 2 measures of unemployment. From 2013 to 2017, the hole fell from 300,000 to 800,000 unemployed folks between the 2 organizations. On the finish of June, it exceeded a million folks.

Nonetheless, in response to Anne Eydoux, Pôle emploi and INSEE have tightened their standards “Within the route of a lower within the variety of unemployed”. As a result of behind the numbers and definitions, there are hidden “Communication and coverage points”. One instance amongst many: formally launched figures exclude Mayotte. “If we built-in them, they’d climb rather more.”

A extra full measurement

“Faced with precarious employment, it’s increasingly tough to measure it “, admits Anne Eydoux. In keeping with her, “These figures have to be supplemented by different indicators”.

On the facet of INSEE, the “unemployment halo” consists of, for instance, individuals who want to work however should not counted as unemployed as a result of they don’t seem to be actively in search of or should not instantly out there. This class elevated by 63,000 folks within the second quarter, accounting for 1.5 million folks.

For Pôle Emploi,“It’s important to take a look at classes B and C which incorporates the unemployed with a really decreased exercise, or all of the classes” provides Anne Eydoux. Within the second quarter, the entire job seekers registered with Pôle Emploi employed 5,579,500 folks.

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Unemployment. Why will we learn completely different figures?Ouest-France.fr



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