Pôle emploi publishes Friday at midday the variety of jobseekers registered with the company within the third quarter, the newest statistics earlier than the entry into pressure of the controversial reform of unemployment advantages on 1 November.
Within the second quarter, the variety of unemployed individuals (class A) in France as an entire fell by zero.5% to three.632 million, as did the variety of job-seekers, with or with out exercise (classes A, B and C) at 5.888 million.
For the unemployed class A, this mirrored a slowdown within the decline after zero.7% within the first quarter and 1.1% within the final quarter of 2018. A number of indicators plead in favor of a continuation, even modest, of this decline.
Regardless of the deterioration of the European and worldwide financial setting (commerce tensions, Brexit, and many others.), the job market stays dynamic in France. After a stagnation within the second quarter, the declarations of hirings of a couple of month are distributed clearly with the rise (+ 2.three%), carried by the CDI (+ three%), in keeping with statistics of the Acoss ( the “financial institution of the Sécu”) revealed Wednesday.
In its final level of convergence originally of October, INSEE expects greater than 260,000 internet job creations for 2019 within the context of GDP progress (+ 1.three%), which is barely extra resilient than that of its neighbors . This could result in decreasing the unemployment fee to eight.three% of the energetic inhabitants on the finish of the yr in opposition to eight.5% on the finish of June.
Hardening of the compensation guidelines
To speed up this fall within the variety of jobseekers, the chief is especially hardening the hardening of the unemployment compensation guidelines, which come into impact partly on 1 November.
The reform, a lot criticized by the unions who see as Laurent Berger (CFDT) “a system of accelerating poverty”, modifications specifically the minimal interval of labor required to open rights.
From November 1st, it is going to be essential to have labored six months on the final 24 months as a substitute of 4 on the final 28 months. The brink for reloading can even be six months to at least one in the present day. In keeping with Unedic, this might have a major affect on the variety of job-seekers receiving advantages, particularly amongst younger individuals who have shorter entitlements with decrease reference salaries.
Through the first yr of the reform, 200,000 folks would thus now not open the fitting (which doesn’t forestall them from registering at Pôle emploi, however they won’t be compensated) as a result of they won’t attain the mandatory six months , 210,000 would open a proper however later (with a delay of 5 months on common) and 300,000 would see their length of compensation just a little lower.
“When the market is dynamic, it’s essential to return to the job.There are 700.000 job presents, there, obtainable instantly” to Pôle emploi “, justified this week the Minister of Labor Muriel Pénicaud.” Even with six months, we’re one of the beneficiant nations in Europe, “she insisted.
The Minister emphasizes the opening of the fitting to compensation for resigning workers with a conversion challenge and self-employed individuals in liquidation. However the circumstances are very tight and the forecasts are smaller: not more than 30,000 folks a yr in each instances.